Donna Romano
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 80
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-08-21 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 03/10/2025 | 6th | 11/10 | 94% | 29% | -0.66 |
| 09/11/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 30/08/2026 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |