6
Oscar Bound
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 68
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength60%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-07-03 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-06-04 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-04-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength49%
Delivery trend +6.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 13/12/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 05/02/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/04/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 18/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |