So Sophia
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 84
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Belmont Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-19 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-01-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 30/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 27/11/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 07/01/2026 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 03/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 25/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/09/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |