1
Battle Winner
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 82
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +11.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 12/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |