5

Beside You

3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 81

Belmont Park · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength62%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 21/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS21/08C6C7 @ Belmont At The Big A 01/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 70 · 6f Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 70 par1/11C7OR 70C6 @ Gulfstream 18/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 75 · 1m110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/01/2026 · OR 75 par18/01C6OR 75C6 @ Gulfstream 26/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 78 · 1m Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/02/2026 · OR 78 par26/02C6OR 78C9 @ Belmont At The Big A 12/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 86 · 1m110y Fm 120 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 86 par12/06C9OR 86C9 @ Saratoga 26/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 85 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 85 par26/07C9OR 85projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Saratoga?10th10th0
2026-06-12Belmont At The Big A?4th4th0
2026-02-26Gulfstream?10th7th+3
2026-01-18Gulfstream?4th1st+3
2025-11-01Belmont At The Big A?5th3rd+2
2025-08-21Saratoga?8th5th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/081/1118/0126/0212/0626/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength5%

Delivery trend -7.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/08/20258th25/10%30%+0.30
01/11/20255th7/163%64%+0.00
18/01/20264th12/137%70%+0.33
26/02/202610th40/10%0%0.00
12/06/20264th14/126%50%+0.24
26/07/202610th10/147%18%-0.29