Loveontheleftbank
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 87
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
76%
Place Prob
53%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-02-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 27/09/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 91% | -0.01 |
| 20/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 01/02/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 25/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |