No Difference

3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 76

Belmont Park · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼2

Strength64%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.8

Today:

Class gap: +1.7

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-30	Saratoga	?	9th	6th	+3	4.0
2026-06-12	Belmont At The Big A	?	6th	6th	0	4.0
2026-04-16	Aqueduct	?	5th	2nd	+3	8.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%

▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price

Trend▼

Strength0%

Delivery trend -11.1% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
16/04/2026	5th	20/1	0%	33%	+0.33
12/06/2026	6th	8/1	58%	17%	-0.41
30/08/2026	9th	50/1	0%	11%	+0.11