7
Outro
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 85
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength75%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-05-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-02-28 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-01-22 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength85%
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 22/01/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 28/02/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 89% | +0.28 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 5/4 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 26/07/2026 | 5th | 13/8 | 91% | 64% | -0.28 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |