Raging Bloom
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 84
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-02-28 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-07-25 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +18.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 28/02/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |
| 26/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |