4
Ride To Remember
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 74
Charles Town · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
87%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength85%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-07-04 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-06-19 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-01 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength83%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 10/01/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 19/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 14/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 04/04/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 19/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |