3
Flirtin Again
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 70
Churchill Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 01/01/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 15/02/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/03/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 26/04/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 27/07/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 25/08/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |