Critikal Sense
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 72
Churchill Downs · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 7.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-08-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-01-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 10th | 7th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +18.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 06/09/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |