6
Prayforpeace
7yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 93
Churchill Downs · Race 5 - Starter Allowance · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength67%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/07/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 13/12/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 56% | -0.23 |
| 06/02/2026 | 12th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 13/03/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 12/04/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 02/05/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.00 |