7
My Blue Heaven
2yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 69
Churchill Downs · Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength9%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-07-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +29.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 14/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 05/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |