Betsylicious
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 80
Churchill Downs · Race 8 - Starter Allowance · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-07-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-29 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-09-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2024 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.41 |
| 04/04/2025 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 01/08/2025 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 12/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 23/01/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 29/04/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 09/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |