Sassy Princess
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 88
Churchill Downs · Race 8 - Starter Allowance · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
88%
Place Prob
65%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Keeneland | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-03-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2025 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 63% | -0.28 |
| 16/01/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 14/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 06/03/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 06/08/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |