1
Banksy's
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 103
Churchill Downs · Race 9 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength67%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 01/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 90% | +0.04 |
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 01/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/08/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |