6
Go For Rocket
3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 100
Churchill Downs · Race 9 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
23%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 10th | −4 |
| 2026-04-22 | Keeneland | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength41%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 22/04/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 07/05/2026 | 6th | 6/4 | 92% | 17% | -0.75 |
| 21/06/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 07/09/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |