Go Grey
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 99
Churchill Downs · Race 9 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 3rd | -2th | +5 |
| 2026-07-25 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-03 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-03-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +15.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 29/03/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 03/07/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |