6
Royal Authentic
2yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 41
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-08-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength54%
Delivery trend +8.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/08/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |