7
Go Alice Go
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 48
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-06-12 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2025-05-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 12/06/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |