1
Marriedtothegame
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 69
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-05-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -22.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 43% | -0.47 |