5

Cupid's Choice

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 67

Delaware Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength47%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Colonial Downs 12/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS12/09C7C6 @ Laurel Park 31/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 74 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/10/2025 · OR 74 parC6 @ Laurel Park 17/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 59 · 5f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/01/2026 · OR 59 par17/01C6OR 59C6 @ Laurel Park 01/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 57 · 5f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/03/2026 · OR 57 parC6 @ Colonial Downs 12/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 65 · 6f Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/03/2026 · OR 65 par12/03C6OR 65C9 @ Laurel Park 04/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 63 · 6f 124 · below its mark04/04/2026 · OR 63 parC9 @ Laurel Park 26/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 63 · 5f110y Fas 124 · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 63 par26/04C9OR 63C5 @ Laurel Park 05/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 74 · 5f110y Fm 116 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 74 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 27/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 70 · 6f Fm 118 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 70 par27/06C8OR 70projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27Colonial Downs?8th8th0
2026-06-05Laurel Park?8th5th+3
2026-04-26Laurel Park?1st2nd−1
2026-04-04Laurel Park?3rd4th−1
2026-03-12Colonial Downs?4th2nd+2
2026-03-01Laurel Park?3rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/091/0326/0427/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength98%

Delivery trend +2.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/09/20252nd7/163%86%+0.23
31/10/20257th5/174%25%-0.49
17/01/20262nd11/271%86%+0.15
01/03/20263rd9/276%67%-0.10
12/03/20264th10/382%63%-0.20
04/04/20263rd11/1094%60%-0.34
26/04/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
05/06/20268th50/10%22%+0.22
27/06/20268th20/10%13%+0.13