4

Seven's Magic

4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 63

Delaware Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength36%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Laurel Park 23/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 54 · 5f110y Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2025 · OR 54 par23/05C6OR 54C9 @ Laurel Park 01/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 56 · 1m Fas 119 · below its mark01/06/2025 · OR 56 parC9 @ Delaware Park 27/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 53 · 1m 120 · beat its mark27/09/2025 · OR 53 par27/09C9OR 53C9 @ Delaware Park 15/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 51 · 6f 121 · beat its mark15/10/2025 · OR 51 parC7 @ Laurel Park 01/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 51 · 5f110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/11/2025 · OR 51 par1/11C7OR 51C7 @ Laurel Park 23/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 58 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/11/2025 · OR 58 parC8 @ Laurel Park 07/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 58 · 6f Fas 125 · below its mark07/12/2025 · OR 58 par7/12C8OR 58C8 @ Delaware Park 28/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 71 · 6f 123 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 71 parC8 @ Delaware Park 12/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 65 · 5f110y 123 · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 65 par12/09C8OR 65projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Delaware Park?7th7th0
2026-08-28Delaware Park?5th5th0
2025-12-07Laurel Park?8th8th0
2025-11-23Laurel Park?5th4th+1
2025-11-01Laurel Park?5th4th+1
2025-10-15Delaware Park?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0515/107/1212/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength64%

Delivery trend +1.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/20254th20/10%50%+0.50
01/06/20255th11/271%20%-0.51
27/09/20252nd7/282%88%+0.06
15/10/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
01/11/20255th40/10%64%+0.64
23/11/20255th25/10%64%+0.64
07/12/20258th20/10%0%0.00
28/08/20265th5/174%43%-0.31
12/09/20267th20/10%50%+0.50