4

Bermuda Triangle

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 79

Delaware Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength44%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Penn National 28/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 63 · 1m Fas 124 · below its mark28/02/2026 · OR 63 par28/02C9OR 63C9 @ Penn National 20/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 64 · 1m70y Fas 124 · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 64 parC9 @ Penn National 01/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 66 · 6f 124 · beat its mark01/04/2026 · OR 66 par1/04C9OR 66C8 @ Penn National 29/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 66 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 66 parC8 @ Penn National 12/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 64 · 1m Fm 124 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 64 par12/06C8OR 64C7 @ Penn National 10/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 71 · 6f Slo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 71 parC5 @ Penn National 30/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 72 · 1m Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/07/2026 · OR 72 par30/07C5OR 72C8 @ Penn National 07/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 74 · 6f 125 · below its mark07/08/2026 · OR 74 parC8 @ Penn National 03/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 79 · 6f 123 · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 79 par3/09C8OR 79projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Penn National?6th6th0
2026-08-07Penn National?2nd2nd0
2026-07-30Penn National?7th4th+3
2026-07-10Penn National?1st0th+1
2026-06-12Penn National?3rd3rd0
2026-05-29Penn National?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0229/0530/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength13%

Delivery trend -3.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/02/20263rd10/382%60%-0.22
20/03/20262nd1/398%75%-0.23
01/04/20261st2/1399%100%+0.01
29/05/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
12/06/20263rd7/491%60%-0.31
10/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
30/07/20267th9/153%0%-0.53
07/08/20262nd9/276%80%+0.04
03/09/20266th10/382%17%-0.66