6

Enforcer
7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 76
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
40%
Place Prob
40%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-30 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2023-07-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2023-06-16 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2021-10-24 | Keeneland | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength75%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2021 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 16/06/2023 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 07/07/2023 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 30/07/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 27/08/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 09/09/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |