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10

God With Us

4yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 89

Delaware Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength32%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 20/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 83 · 6f 122 · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 83 par20/03C8OR 83C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 15/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 83 · 6f 123 · below its mark15/04/2026 · OR 83 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 29/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 87 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark29/04/2026 · OR 87 par29/04C8OR 87C8 @ Delaware Park 20/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 80 · 6f Fas 123 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 80 parC8 @ Delaware Park 11/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 81 · 6f 122 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 81 par11/06C8OR 81C8 @ Delaware Park 20/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 78 · 5f110y 125 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 78 parC8 @ Delaware Park 14/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 81 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 81 par14/08C8OR 81C7 @ Delaware Park 28/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 81 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 81 parC7 @ Delaware Park 11/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 80 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 80 par11/09C7OR 80projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Delaware Park?8th7th+1
2026-08-28Delaware Park?4th3rd+1
2026-08-14Delaware Park?2nd2nd0
2026-06-20Delaware Park?7th7th0
2026-06-11Delaware Park?6th6th0
2026-05-20Delaware Park?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0320/0514/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength29%

Delivery trend -2.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/03/20263rd4/179%67%-0.12
15/04/20263rd11/271%78%+0.07
29/04/20268th25/10%0%0.00
20/05/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
11/06/20266th20/10%38%+0.38
20/06/20267th5/287%14%-0.73
14/08/20262nd5/287%80%-0.07
28/08/20264th10/147%40%-0.07
11/09/20268th16/116%0%-0.16