7

Gowokegobroke

5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 78

Delaware Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f

#10

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 3 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 17/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 85 · 6f110y Fas 118 · below its mark17/01/2026 · OR 85 par17/01C8OR 85C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 01/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 84 · 6f Fas 118 · below its mark01/02/2026 · OR 84 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 18/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 87 · 7f Fas 118 · below its mark18/02/2026 · OR 87 par18/02C8OR 87C7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 07/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 89 · 6f110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/03/2026 · OR 89 parC6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 19/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 87 · 6f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 87 par19/04C6OR 87C7 @ Monmouth Park 09/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 83 · 6f 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 83 parC8 @ Monmouth Park 31/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 77 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 77 par31/05C8OR 77C8 @ Monmouth Park 20/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 76 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 76 parC8 @ Monmouth Park 14/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 78 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 78 par14/08C8OR 78projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Monmouth Park?5th5th0
2026-06-20Monmouth Park?3rd3rd0
2026-05-31Monmouth Park?4th4th0
2026-05-09Monmouth Park?4th3rd+1
2026-04-19Tampa Bay Downs?10th8th+2
2026-03-07Tampa Bay Downs?9th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/017/0331/0514/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -12.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/01/20263rd25/10%75%+0.75
01/02/20264th16/116%57%+0.41
18/02/20262nd16/116%83%+0.68
07/03/20269th40/10%0%0.00
19/04/202610th40/10%0%0.00
09/05/20264th7/491%40%-0.51
31/05/20264th11/893%40%-0.53
20/06/20263rd4/179%67%-0.12
14/08/20265th12/137%33%-0.04