Miles Ahead
9yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 95
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 2.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-06-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-06-07 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2024 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 15/03/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 01/05/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 07/06/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 26/06/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 12/04/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |