Powerful
6yo Horse · 8-10 · OR 88
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-07-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 06/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 26/03/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 24/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 14% | -0.49 |
| 10/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |