1

Prime Motive

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 75

Delaware Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength35%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Delaware Park 18/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 80 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark18/09/2025 · OR 80 par18/09C8OR 80C8 @ Delaware Park 27/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 79 · 1m70y 121 · below its mark27/09/2025 · OR 79 parC8 @ Monmouth Park 10/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 65 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark10/05/2026 · OR 65 par10/05C8OR 65C8 @ Monmouth Park 25/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 68 · 1m Slo 124 · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 68 parC8 @ Monmouth Park 14/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 74 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 74 par14/06C8OR 74C7 @ Monmouth Park 26/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 87 · 1m110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 87 parC7 @ Monmouth Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 76 · 1m70y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 76 par25/07C7OR 76C8 @ Monmouth Park 14/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 71 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 71 parC8 @ Penn National 03/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 82 · 6f 123 · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 82 par3/09C8OR 82projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Penn National?5th5th0
2026-08-14Monmouth Park?3rd3rd0
2026-07-25Monmouth Park?5th4th+1
2026-06-26Monmouth Park?6th5th+1
2026-06-14Monmouth Park?4th4th0
2026-05-25Monmouth Park?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0925/0525/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength92%

Delivery trend +4.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/09/20254th11/486%25%-0.61
27/09/20252nd5/174%90%+0.16
10/05/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
25/05/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
14/06/20264th10/147%50%+0.03
26/06/20266th11/271%0%-0.71
25/07/20265th25/10%33%+0.33
14/08/20263rd12/137%67%+0.30
03/09/20265th16/116%33%+0.18