2
War Master
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 87
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Saratoga | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength82%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/10/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |
| 23/11/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 06/09/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |