2
Blue Suede Hooves
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 84
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Laurel Park | BHA87 | 6th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1756% of fieldRange 5-17 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -10.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 27/09/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 13/06/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 14% | -0.59 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.36 |
| 31/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 20/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |