16
Perrotto
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 78
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#13
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-23 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Monmouth Park | ? | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2025-11-14 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1713% of fieldRange 11-17 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 15th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 14/09/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 18/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 14/11/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 18/07/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 02/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |