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Olivia's Legacy

2yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 85

Delaware Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

6/5

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

83%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 1.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Delaware Park 17/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 5f 11817/06C9C5 @ Delaware Park 08/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 71 · 6f Slo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 71 par8/08C5OR 71C5 @ Delaware Park 11/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 82 · 6f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 82 par11/09C5OR 82projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Delaware Park?2nd1st+1
2026-08-08Delaware Park?2nd1st+1
2026-06-17Delaware Park?1st5th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/068/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 2-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength67%

Delivery trend -23.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/06/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
08/08/20262nd8/158%83%+0.25
11/09/20262nd5/287%80%-0.07