6
Charming Jennie
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 66
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength2%
Delivery trend -16.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 28/01/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 22/03/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 15/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 24/05/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 22/08/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 05/09/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |