4
Country Economics
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 64
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength90%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 27/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 06/09/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |