6
Hawksbury Hustler
3yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 65
Delaware Park · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 29/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |