1
My Little Nico G
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 63
Delaware Park · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
45%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength60%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 19/10/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 29% | -0.58 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 13/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |