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3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 52

Delaware Park · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

50%

Place Prob

39%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Delaware Park 16/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 12216/05C9C9 @ Delaware Park 27/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 46 · 5f Gd 119 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 46 par27/06C9OR 46C9 @ Delaware Park 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 42 · 5f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 42 par29/08C9OR 42projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Delaware Park?2nd2nd0
2026-06-27Delaware Park?6th6th0
2026-05-16Delaware Park?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0527/0629/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +54.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/05/20266th14/126%0%-0.26
27/06/20266th20/10%29%+0.29
29/08/20262nd33/10%83%+0.83