12

All Hail

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 62

Dundalk · Friday Night Lights At Dundalk Claiming Maiden · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden who got going too late at Leopardstown last month. Failed to build on that promise upped to 1m at Cork earlier in the month and his wait for a first success looks set to continue.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 8.9)

Highest class: BHA64
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 23/05/2025 · Pos 13th of 21 · OR - · 6f Goo 12723/05C8C8 @ Curragh 28/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 7f Gd 131C8 @ Navan 13/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 5f180y Goo 12913/07C8BHA72 @ Fairyhouse 28/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 72 · 6f25y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 72 parBHA69 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 69 · 5f Goo 140 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 69 par11/0769OR 69BHA70 @ Naas 22/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 70 · 5f205y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 70 parBHA70 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 70 · 6f GF 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/08/2026 · OR 70 par9/0870OR 70BHA69 @ Leopardstown 20/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 69 · 7f Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 69 parBHA64 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 18th of 18 · OR 64 · 1m Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 64 par9/0964OR 64projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09CorkBHA6418th17th+1
2026-08-20LeopardstownBHA698th7th+1
2026-08-09CurraghBHA709th8th+1
2026-07-22NaasBHA7010th9th+1
2026-07-11NavanBHA694th3rd+1
2026-05-28FairyhouseBHA728th8th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0528/059/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1788% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength65%

Delivery trend -4.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/202513th22/10%40%+0.40
28/06/20258th50/10%42%+0.42
13/07/20252nd20/10%92%+0.92
28/05/20268th11/271%13%-0.59
11/07/20264th10/147%67%+0.19
22/07/202610th12/137%0%-0.37
09/08/20269th33/10%38%+0.38
20/08/20268th18/15%46%+0.41
09/09/202618th18/15%0%-0.05