7

Beach Barbie

4yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 61

Dundalk · Friday Night Lights At Dundalk Claiming Maiden · 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bits and pieces of promise in maidens but struggled from what was a stiff-looking mark on turf/handicap debut at Navan (5f, good) earlier in the month.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: BHA64
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 10/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 6f Std 14110/04C8C8 @ Dundalk 23/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 5f Std 13923/04C8C8 @ Dundalk 26/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 5f Std 13726/05C8C8 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 64 · 5f Std 132 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 64 par15/08C8OR 64BHA64 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 64 · 5f Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/09/2026 · OR 64 par2/0964OR 64projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02NavanBHA6415th14th+1
2026-08-15Dundalk?3rd4th−1
2026-05-26Dundalk?5th6th−1
2026-04-23Dundalk?5th6th−1
2026-04-10Dundalk?7th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0423/0426/0515/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1769% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/04/20267th14/126%14%-0.12
23/04/20265th125/10%50%+0.50
26/05/20265th40/10%50%+0.50
15/08/20263rd20/10%82%+0.82
02/09/202615th22/10%7%+0.07