7

Beach Barbie
4yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 61
Dundalk · Friday Night Lights At Dundalk Claiming Maiden · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: BHA64
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | BHA64 | 15th | 14th | +1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Dundalk | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Dundalk | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-23 | Dundalk | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Dundalk | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1769% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 23/04/2026 | 5th | 125/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 02/09/2026 | 15th | 22/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |