15
Optics
3yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 55
Dundalk · Friday Night Lights At Dundalk Claiming Maiden · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.4 /10 (raw 9.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Cork | ? | 13th | 14th | −1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Dundalk | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cork | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-09-23 | Listowel | ? | 13th | 14th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1756% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength84%
Delivery trend +6.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/2025 | 13th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/07/2026 | 7th | 150/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 30/08/2026 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |