16

Raven's Call

3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 54

Dundalk · Friday Night Lights At Dundalk Claiming Maiden · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Some promise in sprint maidens last year but showed nothing switched to a handicap after 9 months off at Down Royal 10 weeks ago. First-time cheekpieces applied for all-weather debut. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class: BHA58
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 24/08/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 5f205y Gd 12824/08C8C8 @ Down Royal 05/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 5f Gd 1215/09C8C8 @ Navan 08/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 5f180y Yie 1218/10C8BHA58 @ Down Royal 17/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 58 · 5f Goo 136 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/07/2026 · OR 58 par17/0758OR 58projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Down RoyalBHA5811th9th+2
2025-10-08Navan?9th10th−1
2025-09-05Down Royal?5th6th−1
2025-08-24Naas?11th12th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/085/098/1017/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1763% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength54%

Delivery trend -3.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/08/202511th18/15%9%+0.04
05/09/20255th100/10%64%+0.64
08/10/20259th80/10%38%+0.38
17/07/202611th40/10%0%0.00