1

San Giulio

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Dundalk · Friday Night Lights At Dundalk Claiming Maiden · 6f

#11

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Tasleet gelding who showed little when eleventh of 18 in maiden at Cork (1m, soft) on debut just over 2 weeks ago. Will make little appeal this side of handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.6 /10 (raw 11.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR - · 1m Goo 1349/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Cork?11th12th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1744% of fieldRange 9-14 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength21%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/202611th25/10%41%+0.41