2

Tudor Flame

3yo Filly · 9-8

Dundalk · Friday Night Lights At Dundalk Claiming Maiden · 6f

#16

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Invincible Army filly who finished second of 7 in barrier trial at Leopardstown in August but went with no encouragement at Down Royal (5f, good) 3 weeks ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.6 /10 (raw 11.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 5f Goo 1294/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Down Royal?11th12th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 176% of fieldRange 9-14 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength5%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/202611th22/10%9%+0.09