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14

Whatsin The Stars

3yo Filly · 8-10

Dundalk · Friday Night Lights At Dundalk Claiming Maiden · 6f

#14

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Starman filly who is still to even hint at ability in 4 starts and looks booked for another struggle on all-weather debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 12.9 /10 (raw 12.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m Goo 12925/07C8C8 @ Naas 03/08/2026 · Pos 15th of 17 · OR - · 1m Goo 1293/08C8C8 @ Bellewstown 25/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 7f195y Goo 12925/08C8C8 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 1m20y Goo 1292/09C8projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Navan?12th13th−1
2026-08-25Bellewstown?11th12th−1
2026-08-03Naas?15th16th−1
2026-07-25Gowran Park?11th12th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/073/0825/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1719% of fieldRange 12-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength14%

Delivery trend -0.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/07/202611th125/10%17%+0.17
03/08/202615th250/10%13%+0.13
25/08/202611th400/10%29%+0.29
02/09/202612th400/10%8%+0.08