11
Willofthepeople
3yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 66
Dundalk · Friday Night Lights At Dundalk Claiming Maiden · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Bellewstown | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-10-10 | Dundalk | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Curragh | ? | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2025-06-20 | Down Royal | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 17100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +16.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 16/08/2025 | 12th | 4/1 | 79% | 39% | -0.40 |
| 10/10/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 46% | +0.30 |
| 25/08/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |