8
Boston Max
3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 60
Dundalk · View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: BHA49
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Navan | BHA61 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Doncaster | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Chepstow | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Dundalk | BHA49 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Curragh | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Curragh | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength79%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.01 |
| 27/09/2025 | 12th | 150/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 04/10/2025 | 13th | 250/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/04/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 56% | -0.34 |