2
Firewalker
3yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 74
Dundalk · View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Windsor | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Yarmouth | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Doncaster | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-18 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/2025 | 2nd | 1/4 | 99% | 86% | -0.13 |
| 29/03/2026 | 9th | 5/2 | 87% | 27% | -0.60 |
| 28/04/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 23/05/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 31% | -0.32 |